In part 1 I discussed how I found the strategies by Chris Page as interesting though I wasn’t sure I would subscribe myself yet. I have been following some of Chris’s conversations on the collective2.com forums and have found them quite interesting. He has said several things that give me more confidence in his ability. For example, clearly believes being long biased in stocks is likely the smart move, he isn’t under the assumption that you can just easily dial down drawdowns and keep similar levels of return, and he isn’t under the assumption that a simple trend following moving average is the solution. Those for me are all good points. The concerns I have is that in the forums the discussions are coming off as frustrated with questions and frustrated recent moves. I still think the strategies could turn out to be really good, but I am still going to wait longer. I also want to ad that the backtesting to 2020 on 1 minute bars still concerns me. I see it as completely plausible that a 1 minute system going back to 2020 through now could work fantastic while not working well from 2008 to 2020 or from 2024 to 2030. So I would like to see some rational as to why the leader believes it is robust.
Current Conlusion
More time will be needed to show if this is really a strategy worth following for me. I have added this strategy to my watchlist. For now I will wait and observe and hope to get some indication that the strategy is a good one for me to follow.
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